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Super Micro Computer Stock Is Pushing Above Its 50-Day Moving Average. Should You Buy SMCI Here?
Super Micro Computer Stock Is Pushing Above Its 50-Day Moving Average. Should You Buy SMCI Here?
강세 옵션 활동 급증과 50일 이동평균선 돌파, 저평가 분석이 단기 상승 모멘텀을 시사합니다
핵심 요약
Supermicro shares inched higher on a significant increase in bullish options activity. Here’s why SMCI stock is likely undervalued at current levels.
SMCI, 50일선 돌파…반등 신호
슈퍼마이크로컴퓨터(SMCI) 주가는 2월 19일 콜옵션 매수 급증에 힘입어 50일 이동평균선을 회복했지만, 여전히 10월 고점 대비 약 45% 낮은 수준입니다. 2월 초 찰스 량 CEO와 데이비드 와이건드 CFO가 평균 33.33달러에 자사주를 매입해 내부자도 저평가 인식을 공유하는 모습입니다. SMCI의 선행 PER은 17배 미만으로 밸류에이션 부담이 크지 않고, 이번 분기 가이던스는 시장 예상치를 21억3000만달러 상회했습니다. 데이터센터 솔루션 확대와 엔비디아(NVDA) 등과의 공급망 연계, 월가 ‘보통 매수’ 컨센서스(평균 목표주가 43달러)까지 감안하면 추가 상승 여력은 약 35%로 평가됩니다.
Original Article
Super Micro Computer Stock Is Pushing Above Its 50-Day Moving Average. Should You Buy SMCI Here?
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Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares extended gains on Feb. 19, on the back of a dramatic surge in bullish options activity, signaling rising confidence in the artificial intelligence (AI) server firm.
As derivatives traders flooded the tape with call orders, SMCI gapped up and reclaimed its 50-day moving average (MA), indicating bullish momentum may sustain in the near term.
Despite today’s rally, however, Supermicro stock remains down about 45% versus its October high.
Interestingly, options traders aren’t alone in turning bullish on SMCI stock. Recent insider activity suggests a similar sentiment is building among high-ranking officials as well.
In early February, Supermicro’s chief executive, Charles Liang, and its chief of finance, David Weigand, loaded up on company shares at an average price of about $33.33.
These investments imply that those with inside knowledge view Super Micro Computer as undervalued at current levels.
Moreover, SMCI is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of less than 17x currently, which makes it exceptionally inexpensive to own for a business that sits right at the heart of the AI revolution.
Long-term investors should consider gaining exposure to SMCI shares also because the company’s recent guidance for the current quarter topped Street estimates by an impressive $2.13 billion.
And as its Data Center Building Block Solutions gain scale, a favorable shift in the profit mix may boost margins, potentially enabling Supermicro to shatter this blockbuster guidance.
Moreover, Supermicro’s deep ties to Nvidia (NVDA) and other chipmakers ensure early access to cutting-edge GPUs, strengthening its role as a preferred supplier for hyperscale AI deployments.
Note that SMCI’s relative strength index (14-day), despite recent gains, sits at 51 only, signaling the bullish momentum is far from exhaustion for now.
Wall Street analysts seem to agree with insiders that Supermicro shares are undervalued at current levels.
The consensus rating on SMCI currently sits at “Moderate Buy,” with the mean target of roughly $43 indicating potential upside of another 35% from here.