4분기 실적 막판전: HIMS 급락, DPZ 성장·수익성 혼조, NVDA가 판도 관전
Earnings live: Hims & Hers stock slides, Domino's rises as investors await crucial update from Nvidia
S&P500의 4분기 이익 증가율이 두 자릿수로 유지되는 점은 지수 하단을 받치지만, HIMS 급락·도미노 강세처럼 종목별 온도차가 크고 엔비디아 업데이트를 앞둔 이벤트 리스크가 커서 단기 방향성은 중립으로 판단합니다.
핵심 요약
HIMS는 EPS 둔화로 급락, D는 실적은 양호하나 가이던스는 보수적, DPZ는 매출 성장 속에서도 이익은 컨센서스 소폭 하회.
핵심 해석
- 이번 주 실적 라운드는 매출 성장과 가이던스의 신뢰도를 동시에 점검하는 구간이다.
- HIMS는 EPS가 0.11달러에서 0.08달러로 감소했고 주가가 2.5% 이상 밀렸지만, 0.05달러 추정치 대비 초과 달성으로 방어는 가능했다. 즉, 단기 충격은 커도 기업 가치는 향후 가이던스(2026 매출 상회 여부)에 의해 회복 가능성이 좌우된다.
- D는 매출 4.1억?0? 잘못이니 수정: 실적 기준은 41억달러(4.1B)로 컨센서스 3.7억달러가 아니라 37억달러 대비 상회했으며, EPS는 0.65달러로 시장 기대치에 부합했다. 다만 연간 가이던스 범위 3.45~3.69달러(중간 3.57달러)는 3.61달러 예상치 대비 약화되어, 단기 실적 양호성이 장기 성장 프리미엄으로 곧바로 연결되지는 않는다.
- DPZ는 수요 탄력성과 가격 전가가 확인된 수치와 반대로 이익 지표의 정밀도가 다소 모호한 양면을 보였다. 매출 15.4억달러는 컨센서스(15.2억달러) 상회, 연간 6.4% 성장으로 판가 인상·주문 확대가 실제로 성과로 이어졌음을 시사한다. 하지만 조정 EPS 5.35달러가 5.37달러보다 낮아 원가 관리나 일회성 요인의 존재 여부를 따져볼 여지가 있다.
- 전체 맥락에서 WBD·PSKY, CRM, HD, LOW 등의 후속 실적으로 시장은 단일 종목 분기 실적보다는 AI 반응성(특히 Nvidia 이후), 인수합병 모멘텀(PSKY-WBD), 업종별 가시성의 재평가로 이어질 가능성이 크다.
- 즉, 이번 주는 '숫자가 나쁘지 않지만 확신은 낮아지는 구간'과 '소폭 미달했더라도 성장성 신호는 살아있는 구간'이 공존하는 과제형 시장이다. 투자 관점에서는 당기 실적 충격보다 가이던스 디센트럴(중앙값 하락·상향 경직성)와 향후 가이던스 갭 축소 속도를 우선 체크해야 한다.
Original Article
Earnings live: Hims & Hers stock slides, Domino's rises as investors await crucial update from Nvidia
Fourth quarter earnings season is entering its final stretch.
In the week ahead, earnings from Nvidia ( NVDA ) will mark the final company among the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks to report quarterly results.
This report should offer a crucial update on how demand for its high-tech AI chips — a big part of the hundreds of billions of dollars its Big Tech peers are spending on AI investments — continues to shape up.
Other key results in the week ahead will include reports from Warner Bros. Discovery ( WBD ) and Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ), with the latter currently locked in a duel with Netflix to acquire the former.
Salesforce ( CRM ), Home Depot ( HD ), and Lowe's ( LOW ) will also be among the notable companies expected to report in the coming week.
Hims & Hers ( HIMS ) reported lower profits in the fourth quarter compared with a year ago, sending the stock down more than 2.5% in extended trading.
The telehealth and drug platform reported earnings per share of $0.08, beating Wall Street estimates for $0.05 but falling from $0.11 per share a year ago, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue of $617.8 million was roughly in line with estimates.
One bright spot in the earnings release was Hims & Hers 2026 revenue forecast, which came in above estimates.
Dominion Energy ( D ) stock fluctuated shortly after the company released stable fourth quarter and full-year earnings results, as the company looks to invest in its energy infrastructure amid growing demand for electricity and natural gas.
The Virginia-based company reported fourth quarter earnings of $0.65 per share that were in line with Wall Street estimates, while revenue of $4.1 billion topped estimates of $3.7 billion, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
For the full year, Dominion posted earnings per share of $3.45, slightly below consensus expectations of $3.47, and the company's 2026 earnings guidance also fell a bit short at the midpoint.
Dominion said it expects to earn between $3.45 and $3.69 per share this year, with that midpoint of $3.57 per share falling below the Street's expectations of $3.61.
Dominion's earnings call begins at 11 a.m. ET. Listen to the call live here.
Domino's ( DPZ ) posted mixed fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 results as the chain doubles down on growing sales, store count, and profits while consumers home in on value.
The pizza chain posted revenue of $1.54 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter on Monday morning. That was up 6.4% year over year and a tick above the $1.52 billion Wall Street forecast, per Bloomberg consensus data. The bump was driven by higher order volumes and an increase in the company's food basket pricing to stores.
Adjusted earnings came in at $5.35 per share, just below estimates of $5.37.
CEO Russell Weiner said the chain's "MORE strategy" delivered higher sales and profits.
He said in the release, "These strong results flowed through to increased franchisee profits, showcasing our ability to drive store level profitability while providing incredible value for our customers."
US same-store sales grew 3.7%, above the 3.3% jump forecast, while international stores of 0.7% were lower than the expected 1.1% tick up.
Shares in Domino's rose over 5% at market open Monday, as investors assessed its revenue growth. The stock is down 12% over the past year, compared with the S&P 500's ( ^GSPC ) 15% gain.
For the fiscal year, revenue came in at $4.9 billion, alongside adjusted earnings of $17.57.
Same-store sales for US stores grew 3%, more than the 2.85% forecast. For the year, international stores' same-store sales growth missed expectations, rising 1.9% versus the estimated 2.14%.
In 2025, the company added 776 stores, slightly more than the Street anticipated, bringing the total to 22,142 globally.
For the current year, Domino's said it expects US same-store sales to grow 3% and for international sales to be up between 1% to 2%. The company also expects growth from third-party platforms, such as DoorDash and Uber.
"We expect our share on DoorDash to grow as awareness and marketing spend increases. This opportunity is meaningful, as we have not yet reached our fair share on either of the major aggregators," Weiner said.