이스라엘-레바논 분쟁으로 남부 레바논 마을 파괴, 주민들 공포와 분열 심화
Lebanese on the edge of Israel's occupation live with fear and rising tensions - Union-Bulletin
레바논의 지opolitical 긴장 상황은 지역 안정성에 moderate한 영향을 미치지만, 즉각적인 시장 동향을 바꾸는 catalyst는 없습니다.
핵심 요약
이스라엘 military가 남부 레바논의 여러 시아파 다수 지역을 파괴해 주민들을 추방시켰고, 많은 마을이 파괴되며 주민들이 공포에 질려 있습니다.
핵심요약
- 이스라엘 military는 남부 레바논의 여러 시아파 다수 지역을 파괴했으며, 디빈네 마을도 그 중 하나입니다.
- 이 분쟁으로 인해 주민들이 추방당했고, 많은 마을이 파괴되었으며, 이스라엘 군대의 야간 습격으로 주민들이 공포에 질려 있습니다.
- 최신 휴전 협정은 미국과 이란의 중간 평화 협정의 일부이며, 현재 유지되고 있는 것으로 보입니다.
- 레바논 주민들, 특히 기독교도, 순니파, 드루즈파 residents는 도로 폐쇄와 레바논 나머지 지역과의 고립으로 인해 생활이 크게 변했습니다.
도입
이스라엘-레바논 분쟁은 지리적·정치적 불안정을 심화시키고 있습니다. 이 분쟁이 레바논 경제와 사회 구조에 미치는 영향은 투자자에게 중요한 시사점을 제공합니다. 특히, 휴전 협정의 지속 가능성과 분쟁의 장기적 영향이 주요 관심사입니다.
본문 1: 분쟁 지역 주민들의 생존 위기
이스라엘 military는 남부 레바논의 여러 시아파 다수 지역을 파괴했으며, 디빈네 마을도 그 중 하나입니다. 이스라엘은 시아파 주민들이 헤즈볼라를 지원한다는 이유로 주민들을 추방시켰습니다. 주민들은 야간 습격과 도로 폐쇄로 인해 공포에 질려 있으며, 생활이 크게 변했습니다. 이스라엘의 경고로 인해 헤즈볼라 전투원들을 수용할 수 없어, 장기적인 주민 간 갈등이 예상됩니다. 이는 레바논의 사회 불안정을 더욱 심화시킬 수 있습니다.
본문 2: 휴전 협정의 지속 가능성
최신 휴전 협정은 미국과 이란의 중간 평화 협정의 일부이며, 현재 유지되고 있는 것으로 보입니다. 그러나 휴전 협정이 지속될 수 있을지에 대한 불확실성이 있습니다. 이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 긴장이 지속될 경우, 휴전 협정이 깨질 가능성도 있습니다. 이는 레바논 경제에 미치는 영향이 크며, 투자자에게도 중요한 시사점을 제공합니다. 특히, 레바논의 경제 회복과 안정화가 어려워질 수 있습니다.
본문 3: 레바논 경제의 장기적 영향
이스라엘-레바논 분쟁은 레바논 경제에 장기적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 주민들의 생존 위기와 사회 불안정이 경제 회복을 더욱 어렵게 만들 수 있습니다. 특히, 도로 폐쇄와 고립으로 인해 경제 활동이 제한될 수 있습니다. 이는 레바논의 경제 성장에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 투자자들은 이 분쟁의 장기적 영향과 레바논 경제의 회복 가능성을 면밀히 분석해야 합니다.
결론
이스라엘-레바논 분쟁은 레바논 경제와 사회 구조에 미치는 영향이 크며, 투자자에게 중요한 시사점을 제공합니다. 휴전 협정의 지속 가능성과 분쟁의 장기적 영향이 주요 관심사입니다. 투자자들은 이 분쟁의 발전 상황을 지속적으로 모니터링하고, 레바논 경제의 회복 가능성을 면밀히 분석해야 합니다. 이스라엘-레바논 분쟁의 장기적인 영향이 레바논 경제에 미치는 영향은 매우 크며, 투자자들은 이 점을 고려해야 합니다.
Original Article
Lebanese on the edge of Israel's occupation live with fear and rising tensions - Union-Bulletin
JDEIDAT MARJAYOUN, Lebanon (AP) — Looking out from a friend’s balcony, Milia el-Cheikh struggled to find her own home in the ruins of her now-deserted village, its entrances strung with barbed wire.
Her village of Dibbine is one of several Shiite-majority communities across southern Lebanon destroyed by Israeli forces battling the Iran-backed Shiite Hezbollah. Israel has occupied vast areas and fighting has raged through declared ceasefires. The latest truce — part of the interim peace deal between the United States and Iran — appears to be holding.
El-Cheikh, one of the few Christians from Dibbine, found shelter in another village but regularly visits Jdeidat Marjayoun, a mostly Christian village next to her hometown, to have coffee with a friend from church. Before the war, it was a comforting ritual. Now it takes place against a backdrop of loss and fear.
“I don't know anything about my house,” she said. “Nothing is more agonizing than not being able to get to your home.”
Jdeidat Marjayoun is one of a string of towns and villages visited by The Associated Press on the blurry edge of the Israeli-occupied zone of southern Lebanon. The military has pushed out the mostly Shiite population, believing they harbor Hezbollah, and many towns have been demolished.
Residents of neighboring Christian, Sunni and Druze communities have been allowed to stay, but the conflict has transformed their lives. Their homes have been struck, road closures have isolated them from the rest of Lebanon, and nighttime raids by Israeli troops have terrified residents.
Israeli warnings against hosting Hezbollah fighters have effectively barred them from taking in displaced Shiites , driving a wedge between longtime neighbors and stoking political and sectarian tensions.
Lebanon is a linchpin for the Iran deal
The latest conflict began when Hezbollah fired rockets into Israel days after Israel and the U.S. launched their war on Iran on Feb. 28. Israel invaded Lebanon and has expanded its zone of control up to 12 kilometers (7 miles) deep in places.
As troops advanced, Israel warned people to leave large areas of southern Lebanon, and in April published a list of 53 towns and villages — mostly Shiite — where residents are barred from returning. On Thursday, it added eight more predominantly Shiite villages.
Israel says its troops will remain in southern Lebanon for self-defense. It says Hezbollah was deeply entrenched and has released videos purporting to show tunnels and other military infrastructure in residential areas.
Iran says any wider truce must include Lebanon and that Israel must withdraw, while Hezbollah says it will resist occupation. Lebanon's government has also called on Israel to withdraw.
They live in the Israeli military’s shadow
Mixed villages and towns on the edge of the security zone, spread over hills and valleys among orchards and olive groves, stand within sight of their devastated neighbors. Residents have vowed to stay.
The Shiite town of Khiam — now an empty white swath of flattened buildings controlled by Israel — can be seen from the Christian village of Qlayaa.
Qlayaa’s residents are effectively barred from reaching their olive groves in the valley between. “Now another season is lost,” said Hanna Daher, Qlayaa’s mayor.
A priest in Qlayaa was killed by shelling as he inspected an earlier strike, and a father and his two children were killed in a drone strike while driving to Qlayaa. Israel says it only targets militants.
In Jdeidat Marjayoun, a house was bombed on suspicion that militants were using it. Rockets — believed to be from Hezbollah — damaged a church’s dome. In other places, solar panels, power transmitters and water stations have been hit.
El-Cheikh fled Dibbine with her neighbors in early March after Israel warned people to leave. In late May, following weeks of fighting, Israeli forces raided Dibbine before withdrawing in early June.
As the fighting raged, el-Cheikh’s friend, Lolitta Costantine, huddled with her husband in their home in Jdeidat Marjayoun, and at one point stayed with neighbors. Cracks caused by explosions run down the walls of her home. Windows were shattered and doors knocked loose. She keeps shrapnel as a reminder of the ordeal.
Sign up for our Daily Headlines newsletter — delivered to your inbox every morning at 7 a.m.
Watch your inbox for Daily Headlines.
“We didn’t know where the danger was coming from,” Costantine said.
Tensions rise as the displaced are turned away
Shiites seeking shelter from the fighting have been turned away by those who fear Israeli strikes or eviction, aggravating tensions that have been mostly dormant since Lebanon’s 1975-1990 civil war.
When a Qlayaa resident hosted a friend from a Shiite village in his orchard, his house was bombed, said Daher, the mayor. Other residents have asked Shiites seeking refuge to leave.
“We told them, we don’t want problems for you or for us,” Daher said.
Israel has warned Jdeidat Marjayoun’s municipality not to allow in people displaced from neighboring villages, saying it could put the town at risk or force it to be evacuated, the municipality said on social media.
“We were forced to ask some to leave the town,” said the parish priest, Father Philip Habib Okla. “It caused many disagreements and tension,” he added. “We are counting on faith to remain united.”
The Israeli military said it has warned people in parts of southern Lebanon not to allow Hezbollah to use their villages. It said Hezbollah operates in civilian areas, endangering residents.