미국-이란 협정 체결 후 5개월간 이란에서 경험한 주민의 생생한 증언
‘It was simply horrifying.’ Ann Arbor woman back after living through war in Iran - MLive.com
인도주의적 소식은 시장에 직접적인 영향을 미치지 않아 중립적인 입장을 취합니다.
핵심 요약
40일간 폭격 기간 중 5개월간 이란에서 체류한 주민이 6월 19일 미국으로 귀국했다.
핵심요약
- 40일간 지속된 폭격 기간 중 5개월 이상 이란 체류
- 6월 17일 미국-이란 협정 체결로 60일 기간 시작
- 6월 19일 미국 귀국
- 테헤란에서 이스탄불, 디트로이트 경유 귀국
도입
이란과 미국의 긴장 관계는 최근 협정 체결로 일시적 완화되었지만, 지역 안정성은 여전히 불확실합니다. 이란 주민의 생생한 증언은 투자자에게 지정학적 리스크를 재평가할 필요성을 강조합니다. 특히 에너지 시장과 관련 산업에 미치는 영향이 주요 관심사입니다.
본문 1: 지정학적 리스크의 시장 영향
40일간 지속된 폭격 기간은 이란의 에너지 인프라에 심각한 피해를 입혔습니다. 이는 국제 유가 변동성에 직접적인 영향을 미쳤으며, 특히 중동 지역 안정성에 대한 우려가 고조되었습니다. 이란의 석유 수출 중단 가능성은 전 세계 에너지 시장에 충격을 줄 수 있는 요인입니다. 투자자들은 이란의 에너지 생산 능력 회복 속도에 주목해야 합니다. 이란의 석유 수출 재개는 유가 하락으로 이어질 수 있으며, 이는 에너지 관련 주식에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
본문 2: 협정의 경제적 함의
6월 17일 체결된 미국-이란 협정은 이란의 경제 제재 완화와 석유 수출 재개 가능성을 열어줍니다. 이는 이란의 경제 성장률 회복에 긍정적인 신호일 수 있습니다. 그러나 협정이 장기적으로 유지될지 여부는 여전히 불확실합니다. 특히 미국 내 정치적 변화가 협정에 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 점에서 투자자들은 신중한 접근이 필요합니다. 이란의 경제 회복 속도는 국제 투자자들의 관심사를 끌 것입니다.
본문 3: 지역 안정성의 장기적 전망
이란의 지역 안정성은 여전히 불확실합니다. 최근 협정 체결은 일시적 완화 효과를 가져왔지만, 장기적으로는 추가적인 갈등이 발생할 가능성이 있습니다. 투자자들은 이란의 지역 안정성과 관련된 리스크를 지속적으로 모니터링해야 합니다. 특히 중동 지역을 중심으로 한 지리적 리스크는 에너지 시장과 관련 산업에 지속적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 이란의 정치 상황과 국제 관계는 투자 결정에 중요한 변수가 될 것입니다.
결론
이란의 지정학적 리스크와 경제적 전망은 투자자에게 복잡한 도전을 제시합니다. 최근 협정 체결은 일시적 완화 효과를 가져왔지만, 장기적인 안정성은 여전히 불확실합니다. 투자자들은 이란의 에너지 시장과 지역 안정성에 대한 지속적인 모니터링이 필요합니다. 특히 미국 내 정치적 변화와 국제 관계의 변동성을 고려한 신중한 접근이 중요합니다.
Original Article
‘It was simply horrifying.’ Ann Arbor woman back after living through war in Iran - MLive.com
ANN ARBOR, MI — Mozhgan Savabieasfahani said when she traveled home to Iran in January, she expected attacks from the U.S. and Israel were coming against her native country.
The 66-year-old Ann Arbor resident worried her elderly parents wouldn’t survive it, she said, so she went to Tehran with her husband, Blaine Coleman, to take care of them.
“Blaine had to come back after a month, and then I stayed on, and that is when the big attack started and I think it went on for about 40 days,” Savabieasfahani said.
“It was simply horrifying. The fear, the anguish, the unbelievable stress that bombing induces in a population is indescribable.”
It was scary just to feel the heaviness of planes flying over her parents’ house, she said.
They followed government instructions to tape over large windows because those of other structures around them were shattering from bomb blasts and there was a lot of damage, Savabieasfahani said. They took the extra precaution of tying a metal table over her father’s bedroom window to prevent potential broken glass from falling on him, she said.
“It was a very harsh time, but I was happy to be home because I felt that I experienced it and maybe I can come out and speak against this horrific genocide that they are conducting in the name of humanity and democracy,” she said.
After over five months in Iran, with the war reportedly ending, Savabieasfahani returned to Ann Arbor on Friday night, June 19. She flew from Tehran to Istanbul, Turkey, then to the Detroit Metro Airport to arrive back in the U.S.
President Donald Trump signed an agreement with Iran on Wednesday, June 17, that calls for Tehran to dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium and waives U.S.-backed sanctions, allowing Iran to sell its oil freely in a major concession from Washington, the Associated Press reported.
The agreement calls for a permanent end to hostilities and started a 60-day negotiating clock to reach a final deal on the future of Iran’s nuclear program, though Trump left the door open to resume attacks, the AP reported.
The AP put together a timeline of events leading to the U.S. and Israel launching war on Iran on Feb. 28, a fragile ceasefire announced April 7, continued attacks by Israel against Lebanon, and the U.S. and Iran reaching an initial agreement June 15 to open the Strait of Hormuz and extend a shaky ceasefire.
Trump said the initial strikes came after diplomatic attempts failed and were aimed at destroying Iran’s missile capabilities and navy, making sure it couldn’t obtain a nuclear weapon and preventing it from arming and funding terrorism across the globe.
Savabieasfahani said she didn’t personally know any of the thousands killed, but it was horrific.
“And all the time that I was feeling those things, I was thinking about Gaza,” she said. “I was thinking if we, Iranians, in our home with borders ... if we are in this state of fear and helplessness, imagine how Palestinians feel when they are occupied by a monster like Israel.”
Savabieasfahani and Coleman have for many years called for an end to U.S. military aid for Israel while protesting violence in Gaza.
The Palestinian death toll from the Israel-Hamas war surpassed 73,000 as of June 14, the AP reported. Over 173,200 people have been wounded since the start of that war on Oct. 7, 2023, following a Hamas-led attack into Israel that killed some 1,200 people and took 251 others hostage, the AP reported.
Israel maintains it’s targeting Hamas and other militants who pose a threat, but Savabieasfahani and many other pro-Palestinian activists see it as a massacre that has left many innocent men, women and children dead and wounded, while destroying homes and throwing lives into chaos.
Savabieasfahani said she also thinks about those who’ve endured similar horrors in Lebanon, Syria and Yemen.
“Imagine what that does to the state of mind of the population — generation after generation,” she said.
Palestinians have done just about everything from peaceful protest to taking up arms to try to free themselves of “this horrific force of death,” Savabieasfahani said.
“And yet they are being totally wiped out with the taxes that we pay,” she said.
Savabieasfahani said she thinks Iran clearly won its fight with the U.S. and Israel and people in her home country feel victorious and safer now.
“They feel like they’re in the right, the U.S. and Israel are in the wrong, they must stop killing people, so they are energized in that they feel God is with them, justice is with them,” she said.
The bombing of an Iranian elementary school in Minab on the first day of the U.S. waging war against Iran killed more than 165 people, many of them children, at a campus adjacent to a Revolutionary Guard base, the AP reported.
As of June 18, Congress was still pressing the Pentagon for a report believed to have been completed last month on the investigation into the deadly strike, the AP reported.
Savabieasfahani said there was extreme fear during the first few days of attacks, then people gradually started to go back out on the streets. Where she was with her parents, they had plenty of food, water and electricity, she said, and she left them fully stocked with basic necessities in case of an emergency.
She appreciated the camaraderie of Iranians standing by each other, including the pharmacist who let her pick up her father’s medication without paying when Iranian banks were hit by cyber attacks and bank cards weren’t working, she said. She agreed to come back and pay later.
“I heard the same exact story about people who went to buy groceries,” she said. “I mean, they would take bagfuls of fruits and vegetables and stuff home, and the guy who was selling it would say, ‘Pay me when the cards start working.’ ”
She also found ways to cope during the war. In early March, she said, she and her mother risked going out to buy flowers and planted them in her mother’s garden, bringing some joy to them and neighbors — the ones who hadn’t fled the city.
“When you’re under that kind of stress, your mind comes up with projects to do, so that you can divorce yourself from what’s happening,” Savabieasfahani said.