트럼프의 이란 전쟁 장기화, 해군 함정 승조원 정신 건강 및 안전 위협 심화
Trump’s Endless Iran War Has Horrific Effect on Sailors Deployed There - The New Republic
배치된 승조원의 물류 및 심리적 부담 증가는 광범위한 주식 시장에 즉각적인 재정적 영향을 미치지 않으나 지정학적 위험 증가를 시사합니다.
핵심 요약
이란 전쟁으로 인한 장기 파병은 5,000명 승조원의 정신 건강과 안전에 심각한 위협을 가하고 있으며, 이는 군사 작전의 지속 가능성에 대한 의문을 제기합니다.
핵심요약
- USS 에이브러햄 링컨 호는 5,000명의 군인에게 정신 건강 및 안전 문제를 야기했습니다.
- 승조원들은 식량 부족과 극심한 피로를 경험했습니다.
- 가족들은 군인들의 정신 건강과 불명예 전역 위험에 대해 깊은 우려를 표명했습니다.
- 파병 기간이 연장되면서 군사 작전의 지속 가능성에 대한 의문이 제기되었습니다.
도입
본 기사는 지정학적 갈등이 군사 작전의 장기화가 실제 인적 자원과 물류 시스템에 미치는 비가시적인 영향을 조명합니다. 이는 단순한 군사적 충돌을 넘어, 글로벌 공급망의 취약성과 인적 자본 관리의 중요성을 투자 관점에서 재해석하게 만듭니다.
본문 1: 지정학적 위험과 인적 자본의 연결
이란 전쟁의 장기화는 군사적 목표 달성 외에도 전장 인력의 정신적, 신체적 웰빙에 직접적인 영향을 미치고 있습니다. USS 에이브러햄 링컨 컨테이너의 사례는 지정학적 위험이 군사적 의사결정을 넘어 병사들의 심리적 안정성과 안전에 어떻게 반영되는지를 명확히 보여줍니다. 5,000명의 승조원이 겪는 극심한 스트레스와 피로, 그리고 자해 시도 시도는, 현장 작전의 지속 가능성을 위협하는 핵심적인 요소로 작용합니다. 이는 군사적 승리가 장기적인 인적 자본의 붕괴를 수반할 수 있다는 점을 시사하며, 투자자들은 지정학적 리스크가 단순히 무력 충돌의 규모뿐 아니라, 운용 인력의 정신적 자본이라는 무형의 자산에 미치는 영향을 반드시 고려해야 합니다.
본문 2: 공급망 취약성과 운영 비용의 분석
해군 함정의 식량 부족 보고는 지정학적 위기가 군사 물류 시스템에 미치는 직접적인 영향을 보여줍니다. 군사 작전이 연장될 경우, 필수 물품의 공급망은 더욱 불안정해지며 이는 운영 비용을 급증시킵니다. 이는 단순히 식량 부족을 넘어, 장기적인 파병 작전에서 발생하는 물류 관리의 복잡성과 비용 효율성에 대한 근본적인 질문을 던집니다. 투자 관점에서 볼 때, 이러한 공급망의 취약성은 특정 지역에 대한 의존도를 높이고 잠재적인 운영 비용 상승 위험을 내포하므로, 관련 국가 및 지역의 경제적 안정성을 평가하는 데 중요한 변수가 됩니다. 또한, 장기 파병은 함정 유지보수 및 보급에 필요한 자원의 효율적 배분을 어렵게 만들어 자본 지출의 비효율성을 초래할 수 있습니다.
본문 3: 장기적 리스크와 투자 전망
군인들의 정신 건강 문제와 안전 문제는 단기적인 운영 이슈를 넘어 장기적인 전략적 리스크로 확대될 수 있습니다. 군인들의 사기 저하와 정신적 고통은 장기적인 작전 수행 능력과 조직의 결속력을 약화시킬 수 있습니다. 따라서 향후 투자 전망을 예측할 때, 지정학적 불안정성이 군사적 효율성뿐만 아니라, 국가의 사회적 안정성 및 내부 자원 관리 능력에 미치는 영향을 종합적으로 분석해야 합니다. 이러한 비군사적 리스크가 거시 경제 환경에 미치는 파급 효과를 예측하는 것이 중요하며, 이는 글로벌 자산 시장의 변동성을 예측하는 데 중요한 참고 자료가 될 것입니다. 결국, 지정학적 위기는 물리적 경계뿐만 아니라, 인적 자본의 취약성이라는 새로운 차원의 위험을 내포하고 있음을 인식해야합니다
Original Article
Trump’s Endless Iran War Has Horrific Effect on Sailors Deployed There - The New Republic
Conditions have reportedly gotten so bad aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln , an aircraft carrier deployed to the Persian Gulf since November, that some sailors have tried to jump overboard.
The Military Times reported Tuesday night that in multiple instances, some of the 5,000 military personnel on the ship have tried to jump off before being stopped by other crew members. Family members of those stationed on the ship are concerned about the mental health, exhaustion, and safety issues affecting their loved ones.
“He’s scared,” Annabelle Loma told the Times about her husband, who reportedly tried to jump overboard. “He thinks he’ll get a dishonorable discharge, and just because he was burnt out, his 13-year career is ruined, just like that. That’s not fair, that’s not right. That’s not what he should be worrying about right now.”
In recent town hall meetings with military leaders, including acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao, things have gotten heated, with family members expressing fear and worry over mental health and the risk of self-harm for the ship’s personnel. One spouse reportedly told officials at a meeting Thursday that her husband had messaged her earlier that day saying “he hopes he doesn’t wake up tomorrow.”
One woman at a town hall in San Diego told Cao it was difficult to feel proud of her relative because she believed the military was “killing innocent civilians,” and her relative had expressed guilt about what he was doing, which drew applause from the audience.
Stars and Stripes spoke to several sailors and their family members, who describe declining morale and exhaustion on the Abraham Lincoln , which was only supposed to deploy to the Middle East until May this year. The ship left port in San Diego in November for a deployment to the Pacific Ocean, but was diverted to the Gulf because of Donald Trump’s Iran war. Combat operations have been extended with no return date.
The ship has experienced food shortages, with pictures of meager and tasteless-looking meals going viral . Supplies are also running short, and the ship has experienced water contamination, plumbing problems, and disruptions in mail delivery. All of this is wearing on the discipline and mental health of those aboard as Trump’s pointless war with Iran drags on without end.
Trump, for his part, seems either unaware of how dire things are among servicemembers or simply doesn’t care. He touted the U.S. naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz Wednesday and bragged about how successful it is.
Rumors of President Trump’s king-making abilities seem to have been greatly exaggerated.
Republican candidates Amir Hassan of Michigan, Andy Ogles of Tennessee, Mike Lindell of Minnesota, and Darline Graham of South Carolina were all endorsed by Trump ahead of their primaries. Hassan, Lindell, and Ogles each lost their race, while Graham is nowhere close to the fifty percent she needs to avoid a runoff.
In Michigan, Hassan—possibly doomed by his own base’s bigotry — lost handily to Thomas Smith by over 10,000 votes, even as Smith dropped out of the race last month and ceased all campaigning. Tennessee incumbent Representative Ogles was defeated by Charlie Hatcher after suffering through scandal and redistricting. And Lindell—known mostly as the MyPillow Guy— lost to Minnesota House Speaker Lisa DeMuth by about 11 percentage points and more than 45,000 votes. He refused to concede at the time, in true Trump fashion. And Graham, who was essentially anointed after her brother’s death, is now struggling against Ralph Northam.
These are primary races—in theory the most concentrated MAGA voting bloc in which any candidate endorsed by Trump should expect to have an upper hand (maybe except Hassan). A bigot like Ogles and a crank like Lindell should feel more than welcome in a primary on paper. Instead they—and Trump—have been rejected by Republican voters. This is yet another awful warning sign for the GOP as midterms approach in November.
The masked secret police known for their use of excessive force are planning to spend up to $20 million on a dangerous new accessory.
The Department of Homeland Security published a public notice Monday announcing that Immigration and Customs Enforcement would spend between $10 million and $20 million to buy gloves that emit painful electric shocks.
The devices, called G.L.O.V.E , or Generated Low Output Voltage Emitter, are manufactured by Compliant Technologies in Kentucky and advertised as a “humane, low-optics, de-escalation solution for many situations facing our men and women in uniform.”
The manufacturer warns against using its device on elderly people, pregnant women, children, and the severely handicapped—individuals who have not been spared from the Trump administration’s sweeping crackdown on immigrants.
The company also warns that the devices are not meant to be used against people merely exhibiting “verbal defiance or belligerence.” But federal immigration agents aren’t exactly known for making that distinction—with deadly consequences. Agents have continually threatened or attacked individuals who criticize or monitor their immigration enforcement activities.
A senior DHS official told NBC News Wednesday that all ICE agents would begin wearing the electric gloves by the end of September.
Jenn Rolnick Borchetta, deputy project director on policing at the American Civil Liberties Union, told the Associated Press that federal immigration agents had not demonstrated their capacity to restrain themselves.
“ICE spent the last year showing this country they are too quick to use force. Now they will be able to deploy electric shocks with the slight push of a button that maybe nobody else can see them do,” she said. “Introducing gloves that can so easily be used to deliver terrible pain in encounters is a recipe for harm to the public.”
Across the country, ICE agents have practiced excessive force , warrantless searches or arrests , racial profiling , and wrongful detentions . This notice follows the eleven th fatal shooting by federal immigration enforcement during President Donald Trump’s second term.
President Trump left Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, advisor Stephen Miller, Communications Director Steven Cheung, and press at the mercy of a potential Iranian missile attack while he traveled safely with White House Chief of Staff and former Mar-a-Lago assistant Dan Scavino, director of Oval Office operations Walt Nauta, and personal assistant Natalie Harp— responsible for posting his AI-Jesus slop and countless other braindead Truth Social posts.
Multiple outlets have reported that the Trump administration discovered an Iranian assassination threat against the president last last month while flying out of Turkey. They chose to keep the information secret, having Trump board Air Force One on camera while he, Harp, and Scavino later hid in a catering truck that covertly transferred them to another plane. Rubio was reportedly the only person aboard the original Air Force One who was aware of the possibility that everyone on it could be killed by an Iranian strike at any point.
“It’s really just up to Secret Service. I just follow what they like to do ... They wanted me to go on a different flight, a different plane, equal safety,” Trump told reporters at Joint Base Andrews Tuesday night. “ I do what they say. The plane that I was on was at greater risk ... Because that would be the plane that I think that they would be more likely to go for.”
There are so many questions here. An assassination threat credible enough to make Trump hide in a catering truck only further delegitimizes the administration’s constant rhetoric about how crippled the Iranian government is. Why wouldn’t they just wait it out instead of sending Rubio and some of the highest ranking Cabinet members on a possible suicide mission? And why wouldn’t Trump take everyone on the secret flight instead of just Scavino, Nauta, and Harp—his closest assistants? Trump even said once of Harp that she was the “only one who loved him as much as his wife and kids.” Nauta, moreover, was a codefendant along with Trump in a federal case that alleged that the pair had improperly stored classified materials at Mar-a-Lago.