미국 양당, 트럼프의 이란 협상 비판 가속화
Trump faces fresh bipartisan criticism on Iran deal as Vance hails peace talks - The Guardian
미국 양당 정치인들의 트럼프 이란 협상 비토로 인해 지정학적 리스크가 높아질 전망이며, 이에 따라 시장이 하방 압력을 받을 가능성이 있습니다.
핵심 요약
미국 양당 정치인들이 트럼프의 이란 협정을 비판하며, 이란이 제재를 견디는 능력을 강조하고 해제된 자금이 우라늄 농축에 사용될 수 있다고 경고했습니다.
핵심요약
- 존 코린 센터는 이란이 제재를 견디는 능력을 강조하며, 경제적 압력이 악명 높은 정권들을 굴복시키지 못한다고 지적했습니다.
- 수잔 라이스는 이 협정을 '부실하고' '악질적'이라고 비판하며, 이란에 대한 양보가 협상이 완료되기 전에 이루어졌다고 주장했습니다.
- 트럼프 대통령은 레바논의 이란 대리인을 통제하지 않으면 공격 재개하겠다고 위협했습니다.
- JD 밴스는 스위스에서 진행된 평화 협상 첫 라운드에서 진전이 있었다고 칭찬했습니다.
- 이 협정은 제한된 이란 자금의 해제를 포함하고 있으며, 코린은 이 자금이 탄도 미사일 자산을 교체하고 우라늄을 다시 농축하는 데 사용될 수 있다고 경고했습니다.
도입
이 기사는 트럼프 행정부의 이란 정책이 국내외적으로 어떻게 평가받고 있는지 보여주며, 투자자에게 중요한 지표입니다. 특히 이란과의 협상이 경제 제재와 군사적 위협의 균형에서 어떻게 작동하는지 이해하는 데 도움이 됩니다.
본문 1: 이란의 제재 회피 능력
존 코린 센터의 발언은 이란이 제재를 회피하는 능력이 상당한 수준이라는 점을 강조합니다. 이는 미국이 경제적 압력을 통해 이란의 핵 능력을 억제하는 데 어려움을 겪고 있음을 시사합니다. 이 점은 투자자에게 이란과의 협상이 성공할 가능성과 관련된 불확실성을 높입니다. 특히 에너지 및 군사 분야의 투자에는 이란의 행동이 중요한 변수가 될 수 있습니다.
본문 2: 협상 프로세스의 불확실성
수잔 라이스의 비판은 협상 프로세스 자체에 대한 불확실성을 강조합니다. 그녀는 이란에 대한 양보가 협상이 완료되기 전에 이루어졌다고 주장하며, 이는 협상이 실패할 가능성을 높인다고 지적했습니다. 이는 투자자에게 협상이 장기화되거나 실패할 경우, 에너지 시장과 군사 분야에 미치는 영향을 고려해야 함을 의미합니다.
본문 3: 군사적 위협과 평화 협상의 균형
트럼프 대통령의 위협과 JD 밴스의 평가는 군사적 위협과 평화 협상의 균형을 보여줍니다. 이는 이란과의 관계에서 군사적 압력과 외교적 접근이 어떻게 조화되어야 하는지를 보여주며, 투자자에게는 이란과의 협상이 어떻게 진행될지에 대한 전망을 제공합니다. 특히 에너지 시장과 군사 분야의 투자에는 이란의 행동이 중요한 변수가 될 수 있습니다.
결론
이 기사는 트럼프 행정부의 이란 정책이 국내외적으로 어떻게 평가받고 있는지 보여주며, 투자자에게 중요한 지표입니다. 특히 이란과의 협상이 경제 제재와 군사적 위협의 균형에서 어떻게 작동하는지 이해하는 데 도움이 됩니다. 향후 이란과의 협상이 어떻게 진행될지에 대한 주목이 필요합니다.
Original Article
Trump faces fresh bipartisan criticism on Iran deal as Vance hails peace talks - The Guardian
Objections comes as Trump threatens to renew attacks on Iran if it doesn’t rein in its proxy in Lebanon
US political figures from left and right voiced fresh objections on Sunday to Donald Trump’s provisional deal with Iran – even as the US president made fresh threats while Vice-President JD Vance hailed progress during the first round of direct peace talks in Switzerland.
Senator John Cornyn, a Texas Republican who recently lost his primary battle for re-election, posted a line on X from a Wall Street Journal article on how rogue regimes evade US economic warfare. It said: “Iran’s ability to withstand sanctions so far exposes a hard fact for Washington: economic pressure has largely failed to cow rogue regimes, as they game out more ways to sidestep US restrictions.”
This amplified remarks from two days ago where he said he had hoped that before striking a deal that involved releasing restricted Iranian funds that the US would have “finished the job” and eliminated Iran’s hostile nuclear capability, warning that “now they will use that money … to replace their ballistic missile assets and begin to enrich [uranium] again and that’s going to be a continuing danger.”
On Sunday morning senior Democratic figure Susan Rice, a domestic policy aide to Joe Biden and former US ambassador to the United Nations and national security adviser under Barack Obama, added to her recent description of the memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the US and Iran as a “jaw dropping, horrific surrender” by Trump, by calling it “flimsy” and “egregious” because “so many concessions were granted up front”.
Rice told ABC News This Week that the concessions to Iran in the MOU, signed by Trump in Paris last Wednesday, “wouldn’t normally be, and shouldn’t have been, granted until after there was not only a fully comprehensive deal to, at least, deal with their nuclear program, but also that those provisions that were negotiated had been agreed”.
Rice pointed to a provision in the document that, chiming with Cornyn’s remarks, showed Iran “is now able to sell all of its oil and all of its oil products on the market unimpeded, and use that money to rebuild itself” ahead of any agreement on the nuclear issue.
The bipartisan criticism came as Trump threatened to renew military attacks on Iran if it didn’t cooperate and rein in its proxy in Lebanon, Hezbollah, including a forcible takeover by the US of control of the strait of Hormuz shipping channel.
Rice said the previous deal with Iran negotiated by Obama when he was president and then scrapped by Trump during his first term did not lift sanctions on Iran until there was full agreement on a deal, not just an MOU prior to a full pact.
Rice also said that Obama’s condition for Iran having access to frozen assets was that they could only be spent for humanitarian purposes, while under the Trump MOU is unrestricted.
The New York Post tabloid, owned by the Trump-boosting Rupert Murdoch, published a withering editorial using the glaring headline: “With Strait of Hormuz held hostage, Trump’s Iran deal is worse than Obama’s”.
Rice’s comments came as Senator Cory Booker, a Democrat from New Jersey, rejected an invitation to offer Trump credit for ending the war .
“That’s like literally an arsonist starting a fire and getting credit for running out of the burning building. This president has led this nation into a disaster. We have surrendered our power,” Booker told NBC’s Meet the Press. “We have capitulated to the enemy. And they now are mocking us”.
Booker said that under the memorandum of understanding “Iran gets all of the benefits, literally billions and billions of dollars” and called it “an abject surrender”.
As the first round of face-to-face US-Iran talks in Lake Lucerne in Switzerland wrapped up late on Sunday morning, Vance said that negotiators had “already made great progress over just the last few hours, and I expect that we’ll make additional progress in the hours to come”.
Regarding Israel’s continued military operations in Lebanon , Vance said “these things are always a little bit messy … but I actually feel great about where we are in Lebanon. There’s still some additional wood to chop, but we’re going to keep on working.”
Last week Ted Cruz, the Republican senator of Texas, said Trump was getting bad advice on Iran.
“History demonstrates that giving billions of dollars to theocratic lunatics who want to murder us is an exceptionally bad idea,” he said.
Meanwhile the US energy secretary, Chris Wright, said on ABC’s This Week on Sunday that the Lucerne talks would “set out what the Iranian goals are and what they think the tradeoffs they might have to make are.
“We’ve just never been in this situation before,” he said. “The US military, both in the actions to destroy the Iranian military capabilities and to force a way through the strait of Hormuz, without any dialogue, have just put the Iranians in a massively different situation. They don’t have the leverage they’ve always had in talks before,” he said.
Wright declined to predict when US consumers would see a return to pre-war gas prices in the US. “They will continue to head down,” he said. “Flows of oil and natural gas through the strait have already returned to normal, and they will continue that way, whatever happens with the negotiations with the Iranians.”