미국-이란 평화협상 난항, 트럼프의 위협 발언이 원인
Iran peace talks stumble over Trump’s threats to Iran’s delegation - NBC News
이란 평화 협상 결렬로 인해 지역 불안정성과 원유 공급 차질 우려가 커지고 있습니다.
핵심 요약
이란 대표단은 트럼프 대통령의 위협 발언에 항의하며 스위스에서 협상을 진행 중이며, 3명의 미국 고위 대표와 중재국이 참여했습니다.
핵심요약
- 트럼프 대통령은 이란에 대한 위협 발언 2회 ('we’ll hit Iran very hard again' 및 'You close it and you won’t have a country')
- 협상에 참여한 미국 측 3명 (부통령, 특사, 자렛 쿠슈너)
- 중재국 2개국 (카타르, 파키스탄)
- 레바논 헤즈볼라와의 갈등으로 협상 시험
도입
이번 이란-미국 평화협상의 난항은 투자자에게 지정학적 리스크를 상기시키는 중요한 신호입니다. 특히 트럼프 대통령의 위협 발언이 협상을 불안정하게 만들고 있으며, 이는 에너지 시장에 미치는 영향까지 고려해야 합니다. 또한, 중동 지역의 갈등이 장기화될 가능성도 주목해야 합니다.
본문 1: 트럼프 대통령의 발언이 협상에 미치는 영향
트럼프 대통령의 'we’ll hit Iran very hard again'과 같은 발언은 협상의 신뢰도를 크게 떨어뜨리는 요인이 되고 있습니다. 이는 이란 측이 협상에 대한 신뢰를 잃을 수 있으며, 향후 협상이 무산될 가능성도 있습니다. 또한, 트럼프 대통령의 'You close it and you won’t have a country'라는 호르무즈 해협 관련 발언은 에너지 시장에 대한 불안감을 고조시키고 있습니다. 이는 원유 가격 변동성을 증가시킬 수 있으며, 이는 에너지 관련 주식에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
본문 2: 중동 지역 갈등의 장기적 영향
레바논의 헤즈볼라와의 갈등은 이란-미국 관계뿐만 아니라 중동 전체의 안정을 위협하는 요소입니다. 이 갈등이 지속될 경우, 중동 지역의 안정성이 떨어질 수 있으며, 이는 투자자에게 추가적인 리스크를 초래할 수 있습니다. 특히, 에너지 수출국인 중동 지역에서의 갈등은 원유 가격에 직접적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 이는 글로벌 경제에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있으며, 이는 장기적인 투자 전략을 수립할 때 고려해야 할 요소입니다.
결론
이번 이란-미국 평화협상의 난항은 지정학적 리스크를 상기시키는 중요한 신호입니다. 트럼프 대통령의 위협 발언과 중동 지역의 갈등은 에너지 시장에 미치는 영향을 고려해야 합니다. 향후 협상의 진행 상황과 중동 지역의 안정을 지속적으로 모니터링하는 것이 중요합니다.
Original Article
Iran peace talks stumble over Trump’s threats to Iran’s delegation - NBC News
Vice President JD Vance held talks in Switzerland with Iranian officials Sunday as Tehran protested President Donald Trump’s recent comments potentially threatening the days-old peace. “The Iranian delegation has expressed its protest to the American side and is now reviewing appropriate response to Donald Trump’s recent verbal threats,” Iranian officials said through Iran’s semiofficial Tasnim news agency translated to English, adding that “any form of threat is considered a serious violation of the agreement.” It was unclear which of Trump’s statements they were referring to, however earlier Sunday Trump posted on Truth Social that “we’ll hit Iran very hard again, just like we did last week, only harder!!!” unless it stops “their highly paid PROXIES in Lebanon,” referring to Hezbollah. And in a phone interview Sunday morning with Fox News, Trump said he spoke with the Iranians overnight, delivering a stark warning that if Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. will “blow the s--- out of them.” “You close it and you won’t have a country,” Fox News’ Trey Yingst reported the president’s telling him Sunday morning. “You won’t even make it back to your f------ country.” Told during the phone call that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran will maintain its right to enrich uranium, Yingst said, Trump responded that “he better watch his mouth” and “he better shape up or we’ll take over the rest of the country.” Trump described the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding as “just an option,” saying, “I can do whatever I want after that option.” Vance, joined at the negotiations by Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner, met with a senior Iranian delegation to discuss the technical details of a memorandum of understanding signed last week. Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan also joined the talks. The deal has already been tested by fighting between Israel and the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah in Lebanon, which Iran signaled would be central to the talks. “The first mandate of the negotiating delegation in Switzerland is to end the aggression in Lebanon,” a spokesman for Iran’s presidential office said. Israel and Hezbollah have accused each other of violating a ceasefire in southern Lebanon with continued strikes, even as the Trump administration and Iran press for fighting to end. Iran said Saturday that it has once again closed the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which 20% of the world’s oil passes, alleging ceasefire violations by Israel. The U.S. military has denied Iran’s claim to control the strait. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ navy warned ships not to approach the waterway, which Iran had committed to reopen under the interim peace deal. After initial talks Sunday, Vance told the media that “great” progress had been made toward a future “where everyone can work together to promote peace and prosperity.” Meanwhile, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian issued an unusual warning Sunday to unspecified voices in Iran pressing for a return to conflict. Continuing the war “is not in the interest of any individual or group,” he stressed, adding that if there are “internal rifts” in Tehran, “then there will be no need for Israel and America. We will destroy the country ourselves.” Amid uncertainty over whether the Strait of Hormuz is actually open, Trump said Saturday on Truth Social that there would be “NO TOLLS” on the strait during or after the current 60-day ceasefire, “unless they are imposed by and for the United States of America.” Trump added that the U.S. could charge tolls for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, referring to the U.S. as the “Guardian Angel” of the Middle East. Iran, through various officials and channels, has said the failure to implement the first clause of the memorandum of understanding means there is no agreement in effect. A violation of Article 1, which specified that fighting must end on all fronts, including Lebanon, “calls the entire agreement into question,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said Saturday, warning that unless the other side immediately adopts the necessary measures, the memorandum as a whole will face serious difficulties. Israel killed at least 16 people in strikes in Lebanon on Saturday, according to the country’s Health Ministry, after strikes Friday killed 83. The surge in strikes followed Hezbollah attacks that killed four Israeli soldiers in southern Lebanon. The Israel Defense Forces said in a statement Saturday said Hezbollah had breached the ceasefire and “launched more than 50 projectiles toward IDF soldiers operating in southern Lebanon” and that Israel had attacked what it described as Hezbollah targets in response. “The IDF remains committed to the ceasefire agreement,” the statement said. Hezbollah said it had adhered to the ceasefire, accusing Israel of making false claims to justify its attacks to “sabotage the agreement” between Iran and the U.S. Speaking to reporters before he boarded the plane to Switzerland, Vance said the situation in Lebanon had “calmed down” despite news reports and added: “I think we’re going to hopefully make progress on the nuclear issue, hopefully make progress on the Lebanon ceasefire issue. Those are the two big things that I think we’re going to be focused on.” The current agreement establishes toll-free travel through the strait for 60 days. Negotiations in Switzerland are also meant to resolve some of the thorniest issues in the deal that are yet to be agreed upon, including Iran’s nuclear program. According to the memorandum of understanding, Iran has reaffirmed a promise not to develop nuclear weapons — which it made under the Obama administration’s 2015 nuclear deal.