핵심요약

• 이란의 7500만 명 이상의 인터넷 사용자들이 극심한 접근 제한에 직면
• 인스타그램과 틱톡 접근이 VPN으로도 어렵고, 스타링크는 50만 명의 우회 수단으로 주목받고 있습니다.
• 정부가 인터넷 품질과 통제 조건을 변경하면서 검열 우회가 훨씬 더 어려워졌습니다.
• VPN 모니터링이 강화되며, 실시간 추적 시스템이 구축되었습니다.
• 스타링크는 정부 차원의 모니터링을 피할 수 있는 유일한 해결책으로 제시되었습니다.

도입

이란의 인터넷 환경 변화는 글로벌 기술 기업과 투자자들에게 중요한 시사점을 제공합니다. 특히 VPN과 스타링크와 같은 기술의 수요가 급증할 가능성을 고려할 때, 해당 분야의 기업들이 새로운 시장 기회를 포착할 수 있는 계기가 될 수 있습니다. 또한, 정부 차원의 인터넷 통제 강화는 기술 규제와 관련된 정책 리스크를 강조하며, 투자 결정 시 고려해야 할 요인이 될 것입니다.

본문 1: VPN 시장 변화와 기술 기업의 기회

이란에서 VPN 사용이 극도로 어려워지면서, 해당 서비스를 제공하는 기업들은 새로운 시장 전략을 마련해야 할 것으로 보입니다. 특히, 실시간 추적 시스템이 강화되면서 기존의 VPN 서비스는 효율성이 떨어질 수 있습니다. 이는 기술 기업들이 더 강력한 암호화 기술이나 새로운 우회 방법을 개발하는 데 동기를 부여할 수 있습니다. 또한, 스타링크와 같은 위성 인터넷 서비스의 수요가 급증할 가능성이 높으며, 이는 해당 분야의 기업들이 시장 점유율을 확대할 수 있는 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

본문 2: 기술 규제 강화와 정책 리스크

이란 정부의 인터넷 통제 강화는 기술 규제와 관련된 정책 리스크를 강조합니다. 특히, VPN과 같은 기술의 사용이 제한되면서, 글로벌 기술 기업들은 해당 시장에서의 운영에 어려움을 겪을 수 있습니다. 이는 투자자들에게 정책 리스크를 고려한 포트폴리오 구성의 필요성을 상기시킵니다. 또한, 기술 규제가 강화되면서, 해당 분야의 기업들이 새로운 규제 환경에 적응하기 위해 추가 비용을 투입해야 할 수 있습니다.

결론

이란의 인터넷 환경 변화는 기술 기업들에게 새로운 기회와 도전을 동시에 제공합니다. 특히, VPN과 스타링크와 같은 기술의 수요가 급증할 가능성이 높으며, 이는 해당 분야의 기업들이 시장 점유율을 확대할 수 있는 기회가 될 수 있습니다. 그러나 기술 규제가 강화되면서, 정책 리스크를 고려한 포트폴리오 구성의 필요성이 강조됩니다. 향후 기술 기업들의 전략적 대응과 정부의 정책 변화가 주목될 전망입니다.

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원문 링크: https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE0tVFdzUlhqa0lGSHZiUGgyeEZVQ21OTmtsa2R3X2ZTbVVFTWV1VTIxdE92ejQtdFd5eEhRb3VIQ1k3aWR3Slg2NmdudUIzOFhmRktJTVlB?oc=5

This is how post-war internet in Iran looks: More censorship and greater risks for users - Ynetnews

While peace negotiations between senior officials of the Islamic Republic and the United States continue in Switzerland, more than 75 million internet users in Iran are still contending with heavily restricted online access. Although internet access has been gradually restored over the past four weeks, users say the current online environment bears little resemblance to what existed before the January 8 internet blackout and the violent crackdown on protesters that followed. According to users, not only has internet speed declined further, but access to some of the most popular social media platforms, including Instagram and TikTok, remains extremely difficult even through various VPN services. A source familiar with Iran’s communications sector said that the government has reopened the internet under conditions imposed by the Supreme National Security Council on the Supreme Council of Cyberspace. “One of the main conditions was that the quality of access to, and control over, the global internet be altered in such a way that it becomes far more manageable and controllable,” he said. “VPNs are also being heavily monitored and tracked, and in practice, bypassing censorship has become considerably more difficult than before.” According to the source, surveillance and monitoring aimed at updating blocklists have also intensified on an hour-by-hour basis. Responding to a question about the effectiveness of solutions and workarounds proposed by internet platforms and activists, the source said that virtually all of them are monitored continuously and in real time, making the lifespan of such solutions very limited. The source explained that the only viable solution would be the widespread availability of Starlink to millions of people. In that scenario, the creation of house-to-house networks and broader access would make it significantly more difficult for the government to monitor and track Starlink usage. Estimates suggest that around half a million people across the country—primarily in northern Tehran—have access to Starlink. However, any carelessness by users when accessing domestic websites could expose them to identification and tracking. Security agencies have also established various traps to target Starlink applicants, increasing distrust of Starlink providers. In recent weeks, raids by members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the police, and the Ministry of Intelligence on private homes to confiscate Starlink equipment have intensified, in some cases resulting in violent confrontations resulting in injury or even death. Some of the newly surfaced videos from the January massacre circulating on social media are deeply disturbing. Following an 88-day shutdown that outside monitors described as one of the longest nationwide blackouts ever recorded, the return of connectivity allowed more images and testimony to emerge online, documenting the January crackdown and the broader civilian toll of the conflict. However, the Islamic Republic’s numerous security agencies also used the reopening of the internet to hunt down opponents and individuals communicating with journalists abroad or sending images and information to outside media. Niko, a young protester in Tehran, said that the Islamic regime has imposed extensive controls on internet access, making online content and social media significantly less accessible than before the internet blackout. Despite the risks of contact with foreign journalists, Niko, an Iranian protester, spoke to this reporter and explained that while the Islamic Republic claims it has restored internet access, it has reduced speeds to the point that even VPNs that were functioning reasonably well a few months ago are practically unusable. “At the same time, if you used government-approved applications while your VPN was active, you could be immediately identified, and they could cut off your access. The money you paid for the VPN would effectively be wasted,” she said. In her most recent message, sent while the Islamic Republic and the United States had once again been involved in hostilities despite a ceasefire, she expressed serious concern about another internet shutdown. “If they cut the internet again, our situation will become even worse. The next step for the Islamic Republic will probably be to take away our mobile phones,” she said. While Iranian officials have acknowledged the economic costs of internet restrictions, communication with human rights and civil society activists inside the country remains severely restricted. Many of them have been subjected to threats and intimidation designed to force them into silence. The internet is not officially shut down, but repression and suffocation have become even more severe than before the January crackdown, according to some sources. Tara Dachek, a human rights activist based in Canada, said that the internet situation in Iran is no longer merely about censorship. “The scope of filtering has expanded to such an extent that communications that were previously possible can no longer be achieved,” she said. She noted that many people cannot access Starlink because of its rising cost, while bringing the equipment into the country has become more difficult and now carries harsher penalties. Dachek also referred to Iran’s so-called tiered internet system, under which users are divided into several categories with sharply different levels of access. One group, she explained, enjoys unrestricted access to the entire internet. These are generally the same individuals who monitor the internet, track activists, create fake and counterintelligence networks, infiltrate opposition circles, and foster divisions among opponents. They are often affiliated with intelligence institutions. The second group consists of regime agents and officials who occupy the next tier and have access to most internet content except for certain blacklisted pornographic websites. They are responsible for propaganda activities and routine government operations. The third group faces greater restrictions but can still access platforms such as X. These are insiders who benefit from what is often described as a form of “white internet.” At the lowest level, she said, are ordinary citizens, who account for the vast majority of users. They have access to almost no content other than approved material and Islamic Republic applications, where surveillance and monitoring can be carried out with relative ease. According to Dachek, the central issue is precisely this classification system: determining which voices inside the country are allowed to be heard and which must be silenced. Well-known and popular figures such as rapper Toomaj Salehi, Iranian Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi, and numerous civil rights activists, including Sepideh Qolian, have faced extensive threats. Some users who posted content on Instagram that could be interpreted as criticism of the war have recently published images of judicial summonses ordering them to appear before Revolutionary Prosecutors’ Offices for questioning and prosecution. Meanwhile, CITNA, a website specializing in information technology news in Iran, has reported that 68% of active Instagram users have still not returned to the platform following the restoration of internet access. Users say that commonly available VPN services still fail to provide reliable access to Instagram, which has remained restricted since the Woman, Life, Freedom uprising in 2022. Beyond repression and political control, internet shutdowns in Iran have contributed to rising levels of depression among young people. In research presented by the author at the Global Communication Association conference in Casablanca last year, findings showed that internet filtering in Iran contributes to increased depression and hopelessness among young people. While digital freedom remains a central demand for many Iranians, shutdowns can also create risks for the authorities by intensifying public anger and pushing political grievances from online spaces into public protest. This is the same fear referenced on Sunday by President Masoud Pezeshkian, who warned that if people reach the limits of their endurance, they will once again flood the streets. This article was written by Omid Habibinia and reprinted with permission from The Media Line

Source: https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE0tVFdzUlhqa0lGSHZiUGgyeEZVQ21OTmtsa2R3X2ZTbVVFTWV1VTIxdE92ejQtdFd5eEhRb3VIQ1k3aWR3Slg2NmdudUIzOFhmRktJTVlB?oc=5