미 상원, 이란 전쟁 중단 결의안 통과...트럼프 행정부와 갈등
US Senate votes to halt Iran war in rebuke to Trump - Arizona Daily Star
미국 상원의 Iran 전쟁 중지 결의안은 실질적인 군사 행동 변경보다는 상징적 의미가 강해 시장에 미치는 영향은 제한적일 것으로 보입니다.
핵심 요약
미 상원은 50대 48로 이란 군사 작전을 중단하는 결의안을 통과시켰으며, 유엔은 약 11,000명의 선원을 대피시키고 있습니다.
핵심요약
- 미 상원, 이란 군사 작전 중단 결의안 50-48로 통과
- 4명의 공화당 의원, 민주당과 함께 찬성 투표
- 유엔, 페르시아만에서 약 11,000명의 선원 대피 계획 시작
- 트럼프 행정부, 결의안은 헌법에 위배된다고 주장
도입
이번 결의안 통과와 유엔의 대피 계획은 이란과의 긴장 완화 가능성을 시사하지만, 트럼프 행정부의 입장과 상원의 갈등이 지속될 전망입니다. 투자자들은 이란과의 관계 정상화에 따른 에너지 시장 변동성과 정치 리스크를 주목해야 합니다.
본문 1: 이란 갈등의 정치적 영향
상원의 결의안 통과는 트럼프 대통령과 공화당 내부의 갈등을 보여주며, 중동 정책에 대한 불확실성을 높이고 있습니다. 특히, 11월 중간 선거를 앞두고 공화당 내에서도 이란 정책에 대한 의견이 갈리는 모습을 보이고 있습니다. 이는 트럼프 행정부의 외교 정책에 대한 신뢰도를 떨어뜨릴 수 있으며, 시장 안정성에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있습니다.
본문 2: 에너지 시장 변동성
이란과의 갈등 완화에 따른 유엔의 대피 계획은 에너지 시장 변동성을 줄일 수 있지만, 여전히 긴장 완화의 지속 가능성에 대한 불확실성이 남아 있습니다. 특히, 페르시아만 통항의 안전성이 확보되지 않으면 유류 가격 변동성이 높아질 수 있으며, 이는 에너지 관련 주식에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 투자자들은 이란과의 관계 정상화에 따른 에너지 시장 변동성을 주목해야 합니다.
결론
이번 결의안 통과와 유엔의 대피 계획은 이란과의 갈등 완화 가능성을 시사하지만, 트럼프 행정부의 입장과 상원의 갈등이 지속될 전망입니다. 투자자들은 이란과의 관계 정상화에 따른 에너지 시장 변동성과 정치 리스크를 주목해야 하며, 중동 지역의 정치적 불안정이 지속될 가능성에 대비해야 합니다.
Original Article
US Senate votes to halt Iran war in rebuke to Trump - Arizona Daily Star
WASHINGTON — The Republican-majority U.S. Senate backed legislation Tuesday to halt U.S. military action against Iran, but it was not immediately clear how it would affect the conflict as President Donald Trump's administration negotiates a peace agreement with the Islamic Republic.
The Senate voted 50-48 in favor of the concurrent resolution, which passed the House of Representatives this month, reflecting growing concern even among some of Trump's Republicans about the unpopular conflict that began with Feb. 28 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran.
The war became a political liability for Trump and his fellow Republicans in Congress as midterm elections loom in November.
The vote was nearly along party lines, with four Republicans joining all but one Democrat in favor. Two Republicans did not vote.
The resolution directs Trump to remove U.S. armed forces from hostilities with or against Iran, but is likely to remain merely a symbolic vote.
Under the 1973 War Powers Act, the measure does not get sent to the White House for Trump's signature. The White House insisted the legislation is not constitutional and thus not binding. Legal experts say it remains a contested legal question likely to be settled in the courts.
Earlier, Trump claimed Iran agreed to nuclear inspections into "infinity," despite Tehran's denials, as the U.N. began efforts to evacuate hundreds of ships from the Gulf in a tentative return to calm after a fragile peace deal.
The U.N. shipping agency said an evacuation plan to enable about 11,000 seafarers stuck aboard vessels in the Persian Gulf to sail through the Strait of Hormuz was underway after the ceasefire deal between Washington and Tehran.
"We have now started contacting the ships to start the evacuation," a spokesperson for the U.N.'s International Maritime Organization said, without providing a time frame, adding the agency secured "the necessary safety guarantees" and verified conditions for safe navigation.
IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez said the "large-scale operation" would unfold in close cooperation with Iran, Oman, other coastal states, the U.S. and the maritime industry.
In another sign of de-escalation, Washington agreed to waive sanctions on Iran for 60 days from Monday after the first round of talks under last week's nascent peace deal to end the war.
Vice President JD Vance said the talks with Iranian officials in Switzerland laid a good foundation for a final accord and claimed Tehran agreed to allow nuclear inspectors back into the country.
Iran denied it discussed its nuclear program at the talks, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, and said it didn't agree to invite International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors back.
Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said Tuesday Iranian officials didn't hold a meeting with IAEA chief Rafael Grossi and had no plans for the U.N. nuclear watchdog to inspect Iran's damaged nuclear facilities.
Trump hit back Tuesday at what he said were Iran's "protestations and false statements."
"Iran has fully and completely agreed to highest level Nuclear inspections long into the future (Infinity!!!)," Trump said on social media.
He also claimed any Iranian assets unfrozen under the deal would be placed in an escrow account and used to buy food and medical supplies from the U.S. "including Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans from our great American Farmers."
Iran's ambassador to the U.N. in Geneva, Ali Bahreini, denied there was such an agreement.
The conflicting statements highlighted the uncertainty facing negotiations to halt a war that upended the Middle East.
On Monday, the sides agreed on a mechanism to end fighting between U.S. ally Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, and opened a communications line to help ensure safe passage for commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran blocked the waterway, which is vital for about a fifth of the world's oil supplies, during the war, pushing up oil prices and global inflation.
In the first of several steps to provide economic relief to Iran, the U.S. Treasury announced a waiver until Aug. 21 on sanctions, allowing Tehran to sell oil and related products and receive payment.
Bahreini said "good progress" was made in the talks and two working groups would be established in coming days to focus on the removal of sanctions and Iran's nuclear activities.
He told reporters five parts of the initial deal need to be fully implemented before negotiations begin on the nuclear dossier and a role for the IAEA.
The ambassador said Lebanon was an "unquestionable" part of the interim accord between the U.S. and Iran, and it included the withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon.
A ceasefire largely held in southern Lebanon since Sunday, but Lebanon's Civil Defense and state media said Israeli gunfire killed two people there Tuesday. Hezbollah said the incident violated the ceasefire.
Israel says it will maintain a security zone in southern Lebanon and continue to act to "neutralize" threats against Israeli soldiers and citizens.
Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon killed thousands of people and displaced millions. Israel and Lebanon were due to start a new round of talks Tuesday in Washington.
Tanker traffic through Hormuz started to pick up Monday, though Iran and Oman suggested in a joint statement that there may be costs involved in using the strait.
Oman and Iran said a joint working group would seek agreement on administrating navigation in the strait, the services provided and associated costs. An arrangement, they said, must respect their "sovereignty and sovereign rights."
Iran's Fars news agency quoted a military source as saying only a limited number of vessels are permitted to transit Hormuz in coordination with Iranian forces, adding the number allowed through will vary daily, depending on conditions.